Where to watch in France
Not on French TV
No French TV channel has announced this match yet.
Prediction
Medium confidenceArouca to win
Our forecast, from bookmaker odds, results, form and absences
Arouca51%
Draw26%
Nacional24%
- Likely score: 2-1
- Over 2.5 goals: 55%
- Both teams score: 57%
Statistical predictions, for information only; no guarantee of result. Betting is forbidden for minors. Gambling involves risks: debt, isolation, addiction. For help, call the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133 (free, 24/7).
Match analysis
Likely scores
1-112%
2-110%
1-09%
2-09%
0-07%
Goals
Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Over 3.5 goals32%
- Expected goals
- 1.7 – 1.1
- Average odds
- 1.83 · 3.80 · 4.10
Recent form
AroucaWDLDW
NacionalLLLLL
League table
Arouca5th17 pts9 played · goals 12–7
Nacional15th7 pts9 played · goals 10–18
Head to head
- 21 Feb 2026Arouca3-0Nacional
- 20 Sep 2025Nacional1-2Arouca
Absent players
Arouca
- Jose Fontan · Suspended (Yellow cards)
- Miguel Puche · Doubtful (Knee)
Nacional
- Ulisses Rocha · Injured




